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A SPEEDING VACCINE
By Carl Fors, Speed Measurement Laboratories, Inc.
In speaking before city councils, I am constantly amazed
when governmental entities naively believe lowering the speed limit will lower
speeds. Many of them still think the Earth is flat.
Research Results
Martin J. Parker’s USDOT study (FHWA-RD-92-084) covered 22
states at 100 sites over several years, examining the effects of lowering and
raising the speed limit in the city setting. He found (along with other
researchers) that lowering the speed limit had no effect on the speed at which
drivers drive. This is not just a snapshot because it involved over a million
vehicles. Astoundingly, Parker found accidents actually increased by 5.4% when
speed limits were lowered below the 85th percentile. Speed Measurement
Laboratories, Inc. (SML) studied the same issue over five years on rural
interstates in five western states, involving some 80,000 vehicles and found
identical results: Regardless of the speed limit, drivers drive at the speed
they feel is “reasonable and prudent.”
City councils and managers frequently call on local law
enforcement to enforce the unrealistic speed limits they have set and expect the
police department to be the expert in controlling speeds. When the patrol car is
present, traffic slows. As soon as it leaves, traffic resumes speeding. Usually,
in larger departments, there is a traffic division. In smaller departments, the
traffic division is a one or two person team. The chief tells the traffic
division to give him/her research on equipment designed to control speeds and
the fact-finding fingers frantically search the Internet. There is little to be
found there.
The Researched Cure
This article endeavors to provide rock solid research on
what works and what doesn’t. It’s up to you to have the courage to present the
facts to the decision-makers. You can continue to do it the old way – with a
picture of an officer on the front page of the local paper holding a new radar
gun touting the department’s answer to the speeding problem. Unfortunately,
radar and radar tickets have little effect on reducing speeding! Issuing tickets
does provide the personal gratification of getting something accomplished, but
it has no effect on long-term speed reduction.
SML surveyed 3,800 drivers on speed awareness. The study
was conducted in six communities in three states. The results showed that
eighty-five percent of the sample had no idea how fast they were going.
Radar displays have proven their effectiveness in
controlling speeds. Once made aware of their speed by these displays, drivers do
come into compliance. The Texas Transportation Institute at Texas A&M
University, with the assistance of SML, has published two research studies,
i.e., Evaluation of Dynamic Speed Display Signs (September 2003, report
#0-4475-1) and Evaluation of Speed Trailers at High-Speed Temporary Work
Zones (January 2000, report #00-1475). The reports found that “the average
speed dropped substantially from 44.5 mph to 35.3 mph shortly after the sign was
installed. Installing the signs resulted in a significant decrease in average
speeds which was maintained over a 16 week period.” So much for the objection
from the back of the city council room by the self-appointed local traffic
expert, “They may work for the first day, but, after people get accustomed to
them, they will not work.” He, like the city council and the police chief,
should look at the research. Applied to interstate work zones, the study
reported, “Speed displays used at rural high-speed temporary work zones can be
expected to produce speed reductions of about five miles per hour inside the
work zone.” SML also assisted the University of Nebraska when it studied the
short- and long-term effectiveness of radar displays (see Radar Speed
Reporting Systems, March 2000). The sample size exceeded 45,000 vehicles.
This study concluded that “the system was found to be effective in lowering
speeds and increasing uniformity of speeds. Its effects increased speed limit
compliance to 90% or more.” The city of Phoenix conducted their own research
into the effectiveness of LED and non-LED radar displays in school zones. The
study found LED displays with “violator alert strobes” to be vastly superior,
showing “a speed reduction of seven miles per hour and that vehicles were down
to the 15 mph speed limit entering the school zone.” SML’s published research
#SML0900-27 of speed reduction in El Paso, TX, school zones showed similar
results using a Stalker SpeedBoard with a “violation alert strobe.” Before
placement of the radar display, only five percent of drivers were obeying the
school zone speed limit of 15 mph. After placement, 72% of the drivers were at
(or below) the speed limit. Three weeks after the radar display placement, the
speed limit compliance percentage held and increased to 73% of drivers at (or
below) the speed limit.
Additional Findings
SML has worked with the Mid-West Smart Workzone Deployment
Initiative (MWSWZDI) since its inception in 1998. This consortium of Nebraska,
Kansas, Iowa, and Missouri DOTs banded together to find out what does and
doesn’t work. They came to SML with a request for a radar display specifically
designed for interstate DOT use. They offered many ideas, including adding a
strobe which flashes at the driver when they exceed the preset speed limit. This
is called “violation alert strobe.” SML developed the idea and documented the
development in 1999 and then found a radar display manufacturer to make the
product, Applied Concepts Inc. The states offered other ideas, including a
feature called “maximum speed cutoff” which, when set, will not show a speed
above the preset level. SML presented the idea of “work zone alert” whereby a
loud siren warns workers of an approaching excessively speeding vehicle. The
states demanded large radar display numerals of at least 24" which could be seen
at interstate speeds. The Iowa Department of Transportation found 18" high speed
numerals were of little use at interstate speeds. They wanted large digits and
high intensity amber LED lights for increased visibility. To be effective, radar
displays must be seen and this visibility insures safe driver recognition and
slow, not emergency, braking. The states also wanted the displays to show only
speed and not other messages. The logic here is clear – you have a stop sign
which only says, “Stop.”
Dr. Eric Meyer, from the University of Kansas, published
the results of his study, Radar Activated Speed Displays, in late 2002.
Dr. Meyer’s study found not only what the others had found in the display’s
effectiveness, but it also found something new. The addition of the strobe
(violation alert strobe) to the radar display “was responsible for approximately
30% of the display’s effectiveness and a display with a strobe light is
substantially more effective than a display without a strobe light!” The basis
and conclusions of all the research solidly says that large digit, highly
visible, radar displays with strobes are the vaccine for speed control.
The Wrong Vaccine
You wouldn’t get inoculated with the smallpox vaccine to
prevent the flu. You wouldn’t buy light bars for your police units which
couldn’t be seen. Why would you buy a radar display which can’t be seen? The
first criteria for an effective radar display is visibility. If it can’t be
seen, it won’t be effective.
Here’s an incriminating (but, unfortunately true) story:
A small police department bought a radar display because it was thousands of
dollars less than others they had seen. They did not see it operate. The 12"
high numbers were so dim they could only be seen at 200 feet. The radar was so
poor, it did not report speeds until the target vehicle was 200 feet from the
display. The phone calls kept coming into the chief’s office. “Why did you spend
money on a radar display which can’t been seen?” The criticisms went downhill.
The chief told the traffic sergeant to put large flashing amber lights on the
display. His thought was that the flashing amber lights would get the drivers’
attention and they would slow down. He could have done the same thing by placing
a large rock in the school zone with amber lights on it.
Researching the Cure
SML, with the assistance of the Apache Junction Police
Department in Apache Junction, AZ, wanted to research the speed reduction
performance of high visibility radar displays – all with strobes on a city
street and a speed limit of 40 mph. There are many visibility claims by
different radar display manufacturers. One claims a “visibility range of 1,000
feet or more.” SML wanted to determine the driver recognition distance of radar
displays with different-sized numbers. Driver recognition distance is different
than “visibility distance.” A radar display may be visible at 1,000 feet, but
drivers may not recognize the displayed speed as their own. SML wanted to see at
what distance drivers recognize their own displayed speed.
Driver recognition distance and driver reaction time are
also different. On average, there is a three second lag between the time a
driver recognizes that the radar display is showing his (or her) speed and the
time it takes for him (or her) to brake and slow down. At 50 mph, a vehicle is
traveling 73 feet per second (mph x 1.46 = feet per second). In the three
seconds between driver recognition and driver reaction of braking, the vehicle
has traveled 219 feet.
Four Models Tested
Four radar displays were used for the study: MPH’s D 25
Speed Sign with 24" numerals; RU2 Systems’ Fast 350 with 18" numerals; Stalker
Radar’s SpeedBoard with 14" numerals; and RU2 Systems’ Fast 250 with 12"
numerals. The RU2 and Stalker displays used 18 degree divergent LEDs, while
MPH’s LED divergence was measured at 12 degrees. All radars were direction
sensing which means that they would only show the speed of approaching vehicles.
All were set in the maximum sensitivity (i.e., range) mode. All were slightly
angled to the oncoming traffic at three degrees from center axis. The luminance
of the LEDs was identical. All had “violator alert strobes” which flashed (with
accompanying LEDs flashing) if the approaching vehicle exceeded the setting of
43 mph. When the vehicle slowed to 42 mph, the strobe stopped flashing (along
with the flashing numerals). The displays were mounted to a DOT standard fixture
next to the speed limit sign. The speed limit was 40 mph and was reduced from a
45 mph limit when the road tapered to a two lane highway. SML’s assessment van
was hidden from view 1,500 feet from the radar displays. Driver recognition
distance was determined by watching the brake lights of the vehicles approaching
the radar displays. The exact distance was determined by shooting the braking
vehicle from the rear with a Kustom Signals, Inc. ProLaser® III
laser gun set to the range mode. Speed at the speed limit sign was determined by
using the same laser gun, interfaced with Kustom Signals’ LaserStat program,
running on a laptop computer. LaserStat automatically tabulates the traffic
statistics; however, only free-flowing vehicles were measured – no platooned
vehicles were assessed and no public service vehicles were included in the
samples. Tabulated among the four radar displays and the baseline sample, the
sample size was some 1,668 vehicles. A baseline data sample was taken without
any radar display present and found only three percent of the 323 vehicles were
obeying the 40 mph speed limit and had an average speed of 50.25 mph. The
measurements of each display were taken at the same time in the afternoon from
approximately 1:00 to 3:00.
Results
The following results clearly show two things. First, the
larger the display’s numerals, the greater the distance the driver is aware of
his speed and, second, the LED’s visibility is critically important in the
accompanying speed reduction.
(INSERT CHART)
Although the MPH D 25 display had 25" numerals, its LEDs
were not as visible to drivers as the RU2 18" and Stalker 14" displays due to
reduced visibility angle of MPH’s LEDs. RU2’s 12" high numeral display is not
recommended at the research speed limit of 40 mph as the driver recognition
distance was only 260 feet. In the three seconds it takes for drivers to brake,
the vehicle approaching the 12" high display would already have travelled 219
feet and would be only 41 feet from the display if traveling at 50 mph. At
speeds of 30 mph or lower, the RU2 12" is recommended. This reduced braking and
reaction distance of the 12" display at 40 mph could result in emergency braking
as found in previous research. The MPH, Stalker and RU2 18" high displays all
provided plenty of reaction time for the approaching driver to safely adjust his
speed. It is clear that high visibility LED displays with accompanying
“violation alert strobes” and amber, not red, flashing numerals are extremely
effective in controlling community speeds the day they are installed and a year
later.
Summary
Law enforcement agencies considering radar displays – or
radar trailers – for speed control should base their purchasing decisions on
quantifiable effectiveness research and not on uneducated assumptions or the
lowest bidder. All displays or trailers should have high intensity LEDs,
“violation alert strobes,” adjustable radar sensitivity (i.e., range settings),
direction sensing radar, auto dim, “max speed cutoff,” and be capable of AC or
DC powering.
If you don’t take the right vaccine when selecting
displays with quantifiable performance, you could contract (the sometimes fatal)
“wasting the taxpayers’ dollars” disease.
For more information, contact:
1. A-T Communications www.itcpi.com
2. All Traffic Solutions www.AllTrafficSolutions.com
3. Applied Concepts, Inc. www.stalkerradar.com
4. Decatur Electronics www.decaturradar.com
5. Ingram Technologies Inc www.ingram-tech.com
6. Kustom Signals, Inc. www.kustomsignals.com
7. MPH Industries, Inc. www.mphindustries.com
8. Precision Solar Controls Inc.
www.precisionsolarcontrols.com
9. RU2 Systems, Inc. www.ru2systems.com
10. 3M Company www.3M.com
11. US Traffic Corporation www.ustraffic.net
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About the Author:
Carl Fors is President of Fort Worth, TX-based Speed
Measurement Laboratories Inc. and has some twenty years of radar and laser
experience testing and developing public safety products. He teaches police
radar and laser certification courses to federal certification standards and
serves as a consultant to many municipal and state agencies. He may be
reached at speed3@speedlabs.com. See www.speedlabs.com for further information.
# vehicles % at speed limit Rec
Distance* Ave Speed mph over limit 10 mile pace
Baseline 323 3%
50.25 mph 10.25 mph 45-54 mph
MPH 25" 331 39% 460
feet 42.47 mph 2.47 mph 37-46 mph
RU2 18" 334 45% 524
feet 41.06 mph 1.06 mph 35-44 mph
Stalker 14" 342 41% 478
feet 42.35 mph 2.35 mph 36-45 mph
RU2 12" 338 28% 260
feet 43.82 mph 3.82 mph 39-49 mph
*driver recognition distance of radar display
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